出行观丨欧盟正在打一场保护主义下的产业升级算盘

Core Viewpoint - The European Commission has introduced a comprehensive cybersecurity legislative proposal, deemed the "strictest ever," mandating EU member states to remove Huawei and ZTE from their mobile networks within three years of the law's enactment, indicating a shift from recommendations to mandatory actions in telecommunications security [1][4]. Group 1: Legislative Impact - The new proposal extends beyond telecommunications, potentially restricting companies from 18 sensitive sectors, including connected vehicles, power and water supply systems, cloud computing, medical devices, drones, aerospace, and semiconductors, if a country is deemed a cybersecurity threat [4]. - Huawei has responded to the proposal, arguing that it violates fundamental legal principles of fairness and non-discrimination by targeting non-EU suppliers based on country of origin rather than factual evidence and technical standards [4]. Group 2: Industry Implications - The legislative changes could significantly impact the automotive sector, particularly in the context of smart connected vehicles, as the freedom of choice in technology solutions may be replaced by security reviews, potentially barring Chinese companies from participating in critical components [5][7]. - The proposal could lead to systemic marginalization of Chinese technology standards in Europe, affecting the supply chain structure and increasing costs for European manufacturers who may have to opt for less mature and more expensive alternatives [7][11]. Group 3: Economic Considerations - The estimated cost of fully excluding Chinese equipment from 5G construction in Europe could reach approximately €550 billion (about ¥4.48 trillion), with the overall cost of transforming the telecommunications network projected at €2 trillion (about ¥16 trillion) [14][16]. - The financial burden of these changes may ultimately be passed on to consumers, raising product prices and complicating the market landscape for European companies [14][19]. Group 4: Strategic Objectives - The EU's move appears to be a strategic choice aimed at reshaping its technological landscape and reducing dependency on Chinese technology, pushing for local development of software and algorithms [11][13]. - This approach may lead to increased R&D costs for multinational companies, as they will need to maintain dual technology stacks to comply with different regulatory environments, further complicating the market dynamics [14][18].