Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-01-22 03:05Group 1 - Hong Kong real estate stocks are experiencing a broad increase, with notable gains in companies such as Hysan Development (up 4.49% to HKD 21.42), Sun Hung Kai Properties (up 3.27% to HKD 113.8), and Wharf Real Estate Investment (up 3.23% to HKD 26.2) [1] - According to a report by CLSA, Hong Kong property prices are showing signs of recovery, with strong sales of new developments and optimistic market sentiment, leading to a year-to-date increase in developer stock prices [1] - CLSA predicts a continued upward trend in property prices, estimating a 5% increase by 2026, although the pace of price growth is expected to moderate due to cooling interest rate expectations and resilient mortgage rates [1] Group 2 - Citigroup has revised its 2026 forecast for Hong Kong residential property prices from a 3% increase to an 8% increase, anticipating further acceleration in 2027 as the market enters a prolonged upward cycle [2] - The bank expects Hong Kong property developers to benefit in the first half of 2026 from improved profit margins, earnings, and net asset value (NAV) growth, with current operating profit margins ranging from 5% to 9% [2] - New transaction volumes for new developments are projected to reach a six-year high, with each 1% increase in property prices estimated to boost NAV by 0.5% and earnings by 1.5% [2]