2026 年数据与人工智能的 7 项预测

Core Insights - The infrastructure supporting artificial intelligence is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by the convergence of open formats, AI capabilities, and the unsustainable costs of integrating numerous tools [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Fundamentals - Basic skills remain crucial as architecture changes can disrupt pipelines, and data quality issues continue to plague organizations, costing an average of $12.9 million annually due to poor data quality [2][11]. - The key challenge by 2026 will not be the existence of these issues but the speed and method of their detection and resolution [2]. Group 2: Metadata Layer as a Battleground - The storage layer competition has concluded with Iceberg, Delta Lake, and Hudi emerging as winners, while Parquet has become the common language for data storage [3][6]. - The focus is shifting upstream to the metadata layer, which is becoming the operational backbone of data management, encompassing data lineage, quality rules, access policies, and business context [6][20]. Group 3: Simplification of Data Stacks - Organizations are experiencing tool fatigue, managing an average of 15 to 30 different tools across various data functions, which is unsustainable [7][9]. - By 2026, the integration process will accelerate, with platforms like Snowflake and Databricks consolidating functionalities to streamline data operations [10]. Group 4: Data Quality as a Business Function - Data quality metrics will shift from engineering-focused indicators to business outcomes, with organizations increasingly linking data pipeline failures to revenue impacts [11][12]. - By 2026, 80% of organizations are expected to deploy AI/ML-driven data quality solutions, emphasizing the need for accountability through data contracts between producers and consumers [12]. Group 5: AI Agents Replacing Dashboards - The traditional model of data observability through dashboards is becoming obsolete, with AI agents expected to take over operational responsibilities by 2026 [13][15]. - These AI agents will be capable of understanding business context, automatically tracing issues, and applying fixes, fundamentally changing the approach to data observability [15]. Group 6: AI Reshaping Data Infrastructure - The initial design of data stacks was for dashboard services, not AI workloads, but AI is now a primary user of data [16]. - By 2026, two types of companies will emerge: AI-native architectures designed for AI workloads and traditional stacks with AI capabilities added later [16]. Group 7: The Rise of Semantic Layers - Semantic layers, previously seen as optional, are becoming essential for AI applications, providing necessary context for data interpretation and ensuring data quality [17]. - These layers serve as a bridge between technical data and business meaning, crucial for AI agents to function effectively [17]. Group 8: Common Theme - A common theme across the predictions is the shift from passive to proactive data infrastructure, where systems will not only store and visualize data but also understand, reason, and act based on interactions [18][19].