成本高企叠加增长乏力 南侨食品2025年业绩创上市新低

Core Viewpoint - The company, Nanjiao Foods, is forecasting a significant decline in its 2025 annual net profit, projecting a drop of 78.39% to 81.99% year-on-year, marking the lowest profit levels since its A-share listing in May 2021 [1] Financial Performance - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders is between 36.26 million to 43.52 million yuan, while the non-recurring net profit is projected to be between 30.88 million to 37.05 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 79.71% to 83.09% [1] - The company's revenue for 2025 is anticipated to be 3.065 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 3% compared to the previous year, indicating ongoing revenue growth challenges [1] Cost Pressures - The primary reasons for the profit decline are sustained cost pressures and unfavorable changes in product structure, with key raw materials like palm oil, coconut oil, and natural cream experiencing significant price increases [1][2] - The average price of palm oil increased compared to 2024, while coconut oil reached a historical high, further exacerbating the company's cost burden [1] Profitability Challenges - The inability to effectively pass on rising costs to product prices has contributed to the profit decline, with the company's gross margin dropping to 19.01% in the first three quarters of 2025, down from 24.47% in the same period last year [2] - The gross margin for the third quarter of 2025 was only 17.05%, marking a new low since the company went public, highlighting a clear trend of weakening profitability [2] Historical Performance Trends - The company's net profit has shown significant volatility from 2022 to 2024, with figures of 161 million yuan, 232 million yuan, and 201 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of -56.41%, 44.73%, and -13.34% respectively [2] - The company has struggled with revenue growth, failing to meet its ambitious targets set during its IPO, which included a 25% revenue increase in 2021 and a 45% increase in 2022 [3] Strategic Responses - In response to the dual pressures of declining profits and revenue, the company has proposed strategies focusing on cost control, market expansion, and product innovation to reverse its operational downturn [3] - The challenges faced by Nanjiao Foods are indicative of broader industry issues related to raw material price volatility, while also revealing the company's weaknesses in cost transmission, channel operations, and product structure adjustments [3]