铜价红红火火，产业链上的精艺股份却预计2025年由盈转亏

Core Viewpoint - Jingyi Co., Ltd. (SZ002295) is expected to report a net loss of between 28.18 million yuan and 52.33 million yuan for the fiscal year 2025, a significant decline from a profit of 27.71 million yuan in 2024, primarily due to substantial bad debt provisions [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Jingyi Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 3.481 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.77% [3] - The operating profit for the same period was 13.7 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decline, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 52.43% to 14.09 million yuan [3] - The company reported a negative net cash flow from operating activities of 116 million yuan, worsening due to increased procurement costs and rising working capital [3] Group 2: Bad Debt and Cash Flow Management - The anticipated loss for 2025 is mainly attributed to large provisions for bad debts, with the company emphasizing its commitment to managing accounts receivable through enhanced credit checks and collection efforts [3][6] - As of September 30, 2025, the accounts receivable balance stood at 884 million yuan, accounting for approximately 25% of the revenue, which raises concerns given the significant multiple compared to net profit [6] Group 3: Industry Context and Cost Pressures - The copper processing industry is facing rising credit risks, with many companies experiencing increased accounts receivable and extended payment terms due to tightening credit cycles and weak end-demand [6] - In 2025, copper prices have shown a significant upward trend, with the London Metal Exchange (LME) copper price reaching a record high of 11,996 USD per ton on December 22, 2025, contributing to increased cost pressures for companies [4] - Jingyi Co., Ltd. has established a pricing system based on "copper price + processing fee" to mitigate risks associated with copper price fluctuations [6]