透视张坤的四季报

Core Viewpoint - Zhang Kun, a well-known fund manager, has disclosed the latest holdings and layout views of his four funds, indicating a reduction in management scale despite positive performance over the past year [1][2]. Fund Performance - The four funds managed by Zhang Kun reported respective increases of 6.86%, 8.46%, 11.75%, and 41.87% in 2025 [2]. - The total management scale of Zhang Kun's funds decreased to approximately 48.38 billion yuan, a decline of 14.43% from the previous quarter and 17.91% from the end of 2024 [2]. Stock Holdings - The funds have slightly increased their equity investment ratios by 1% to 3% in the fourth quarter of 2025 [2]. - Significant reductions were made in holdings of major liquor stocks such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, with a reduction of around 5% in the fourth quarter compared to a 10% reduction in the third quarter [2][3]. Sector Adjustments - Zhang Kun has adjusted the structure of investments in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, consumer goods, and technology, while maintaining positions in companies with strong business models and competitive advantages [4]. - The stock market showed significant differentiation in the fourth quarter, with sectors like oil and gas, defense, and non-ferrous metals performing well, while real estate, pharmaceuticals, and computers lagged [4]. Consumer and Housing Market Insights - Domestic consumption has remained weak in recent years, but Zhang Kun believes that the decline in housing prices in major cities is nearing its end, which could lead to an improvement in consumer sentiment [5][6]. - The long-term outlook suggests that both the actual living standards and social security levels of the population will significantly improve over the next decade, narrowing the gap with developed countries [6]. AI and Innovation - A strong domestic demand market is seen as crucial for promoting technological innovation, with the potential to attract global resources, talent, and capital [7]. - Zhang Kun expressed confidence in the business models and cash flow capabilities of the companies in his portfolio, emphasizing that the challenges faced are temporary and that the market will recognize the investment potential in domestic companies [7].