人均11.8万存款,居民166万亿存款,中国人为啥宁愿存钱不借钱?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-22 21:52

Core Insights - The total deposits in China have reached 166 trillion yuan, with an average of approximately 11.8 thousand yuan per person, indicating a significant increase in savings over the past decade [1][3] - In contrast, the new residential loans added last year were only 441.7 billion yuan, reflecting a drastic decline in borrowing willingness, comparable to levels seen 20 years ago [1][3] Deposit Trends - The structure of deposits has changed significantly, with 73.4% now being time deposits, compared to only 40% a decade ago, indicating a preference for locking funds away for minimal interest rather than keeping them in demand deposits [3] - The increase in total deposits is not solely from a few individuals, as the overall savings have doubled in the last ten years, suggesting a widespread trend among the population [3] Loan Trends - The residential loan market is experiencing a downturn, with personal consumption loans decreasing by 0.9% year-on-year and short-term consumption loans dropping by 4%, while the growth rate of housing loans is only 0.4% [3][5] - The stark contrast in loan growth compared to previous years highlights a significant shift in consumer behavior towards borrowing [3] Consumer Behavior - The cautious approach to employment and income has led to a rise in "precautionary savings," with individuals preferring to maintain savings for unexpected situations rather than taking on debt [5] - Investment and consumption behaviors have become more rational, with many individuals opting to save rather than invest in volatile markets, as evidenced by a 2.9% decline in per capita household consumption in the third quarter of 2025 [5] Debt Aversion - High levels of household debt, particularly in urban areas, have contributed to a fear of taking on additional debt, with many individuals choosing to pay off existing loans early despite low interest rates [7] - The shift in mindset from "spending and borrowing" to "saving and stability" reflects a broader change in financial attitudes among the population [7] Future Outlook - There are signs of a potential shift, as the proportion of residents inclined towards "more investment" has risen to 18.5%, the highest in two years, indicating a gradual movement of funds towards investment opportunities [7] - The current high level of deposits suggests that while individuals are cautious now, there is potential for these funds to be utilized for consumption or investment once economic stability is perceived [7]