中金:维持赤子城科技跑赢行业评级 目标价14.5港元

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company maintains its revenue and Non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, while introducing new forecasts for 2027, projecting revenue of 9.8 billion and Non-IFRS net profit of 1.4 billion [1] - The company is expected to achieve a 32% year-on-year revenue growth in the second half of 2025, reaching 3.7 billion, with social business revenue growing by 30% to 3.3 billion and innovative business revenue increasing by 52% to 400 million [2] - The company anticipates a median social revenue of 6.1 billion for FY25, reflecting a 33% year-on-year increase, and expects a 28% year-on-year growth in social revenue for Q4 2025 [3] Group 2 - The innovative business revenue is projected to reach a median of 750 million for FY25, with significant growth in short drama revenue, which is expected to double year-on-year [4] - The company expects to enhance profit margins for its main products, which will help offset the investments in new businesses, maintaining a Non-IFRS net profit estimate of 1.26 billion for 2026 [5]