乘联分会：1月狭义乘用车零售预计180.0万辆

Core Viewpoint - The automotive market is expected to see a slight year-on-year increase in January due to the release of pent-up demand from first-time buyers, despite uncertainties in the terminal market caused by the reduction of purchase tax subsidies and the gradual implementation of trade-in subsidies across provinces [1] Group 1: Market Performance - January is projected to be the last complete sales month before the late Spring Festival, with more working days compared to the same period last year [1] - The retail market is expected to reach 1.8 million units in January, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 20.4% but a slight year-on-year increase of 0.3% [1] Group 2: Sales Trends - The automotive market started weakly in early January, with an average daily retail of 30,000 units, showing declines both year-on-year and month-on-month [1] - The second week saw a slight recovery in terminal heat, with average daily retail increasing to 50,000 units, although still down year-on-year and month-on-month [1] - By the third week, as trade-in subsidies began to be implemented, market heat slowly picked up, with expected daily retail reaching 57,000 units [1] - In the fourth week, with the implementation of subsidy policies and increased first-time buyer demand, daily retail is expected to surge to 120,000 units [1]