Amillex 安迈每日汇评｜美元走弱助推金价登顶，降息预期点燃多头情绪

Group 1: Gold Market - Spot gold continues its strong upward trend, surpassing the $4,900 mark and reaching a historical high of $4,960.43 per ounce [1] - The primary driver of this surge is the persistent weakness of the US dollar, which fell 0.5% to 98.28, marking a three-week low [1] - Market expectations indicate that the Federal Reserve is likely to initiate a rate cut cycle in the second half of 2026, with two cuts totaling 50 basis points, enhancing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset [1] Group 2: Stock Market - The Dow Jones index is reported at 49,384.01 points, up 0.63%, buoyed by signals of easing geopolitical tensions from the Davos Forum [7] - The S&P 500 index stands at 6,913.35 points, up 0.55%, reflecting optimistic expectations ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting [7] - The Nasdaq index is at 25,436.02 points, up 0.91%, with active performance in tech stocks, particularly in the AI sector [7] Group 3: Currency Market - The US dollar index (DXY) is at 98.30, down 0.41%, as safe-haven buying recedes due to easing geopolitical tensions [8] - The euro to dollar exchange rate is reported at 1.1750, up 0.56%, benefiting from reduced trade friction risks between the US and Europe [8] - The dollar to yen exchange rate is around 158.40, with market risk appetite improving and demand for the yen weakening [8] Group 4: Commodity Market - WTI crude oil is priced at approximately $59.70 per barrel, down 2.14%, as geopolitical premiums significantly decline [5] - Spot silver is reported at about $95.82, up 3.44%, as the market rebounds above the $95 historical high amid easing geopolitical tensions [8] Group 5: Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin is trading at approximately $89,521, having slightly dropped from the psychological $90,000 mark, showing strong technical support around $88,000 [8] - Ethereum is fluctuating around the $3,000 mark, with recent on-chain activity debates affecting its price, oscillating between $2,980 and $3,050 [8]