AMRO预测越南将在2026年引领东盟+3地区经济增长

Core Viewpoint - The AMRO report indicates an upward revision of economic growth forecasts for the ASEAN+3 region, reflecting resilience against external shocks despite global uncertainties [1][2]. Economic Growth Projections - The ASEAN+3 region is expected to achieve a GDP growth rate of 4.3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026, both revised upward by 0.2 percentage points from the previous report in October 2025 [1]. - Vietnam is projected to have the highest GDP growth rate among ASEAN+3 economies at 7.6% in 2026, highlighting its increasing role in regional supply chains and the effectiveness of foreign investment in manufacturing, technology, and export services [2]. Inflation Trends - The overall inflation rate in the ASEAN+3 region is anticipated to reach 0.9% in 2025 and slightly increase to 1.2% in 2026, remaining significantly below long-term averages [1]. - Controlled inflation is expected to provide ASEAN+3 economies with policy space to respond flexibly to unexpected financial or trade shocks [1]. Economic Resilience Factors - The report emphasizes the significant recovery capacity of the ASEAN+3 region, effectively overcoming global uncertainties [1]. - Strong technological demand and ample foreign direct investment have played crucial roles in mitigating the negative impacts of trade conflicts [1].