Group 1: Market Dynamics - The ongoing "memory shortage" driven by the AI wave is causing significant price increases in DRAM, with Samsung and SK Hynix notifying clients of a 60% to 70% rise in contract prices for the first quarter of 2026 compared to the previous quarter [1] - The AI industry's demand for high-capacity and high-speed memory chips, particularly High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), is creating a "super bull market" in the memory sector, with HBM gross margins reaching 50%-60%, significantly higher than traditional DRAM margins of about 30% [2] - The memory market is expected to enter a "super bull market," surpassing the 2018 peak, with DRAM prices projected to increase by 40%-50% in Q1 2026 and an additional 20% in Q2 2026 [4] Group 2: Impact on PC Industry - The sharp rise in memory prices is exerting new pressure on the recovering global PC market, with a projected year-on-year increase of 3.47% in global PC shipments for 2024 and 9.52% for Q3 2025, although rising memory costs are disrupting this growth [4] - Major PC manufacturers have begun to raise prices, with some products seeing increases of up to 20%, as companies like HP and Lenovo adjust their pricing strategies in response to rising costs [5][6] - The share of DRAM in the overall cost of PC systems is expected to rise to between 15% and 24.3% in the medium term, further squeezing profit margins for PC manufacturers [4] Group 3: Company Strategies - Companies like Thunderobot have demonstrated strong risk management and growth resilience by increasing their inventory of key components, such as CPUs and memory, in anticipation of price hikes, resulting in a 105.29% increase in inventory year-on-year [7] - Thunderobot's proactive inventory strategy has allowed it to maintain steady growth, with a 13.9% increase in revenue and a 10.36% increase in net profit for the first nine months of 2025 [7] - The company is also optimizing its product structure and sales channels, with overseas revenue growing from 107 million yuan in 2021 to 1.15 billion yuan in 2024, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 120.7% [9]
AI虹吸效应造就内存“超级牛市”,雷神科技等前瞻布局厂商赢得先手