我们该如何看待6G？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing debate surrounding 5G technology and the upcoming 6G, emphasizing the necessity of research and investment in 6G to maintain technological leadership and address industry needs [1][3][5]. Group 1: Importance of 6G Research - Researching 6G technology and establishing standards is essential as ICT technology is at the core of the fourth industrial revolution [3][4]. - Maintaining a leading position in 6G is crucial for the overall communication industry, as it relates to various wireless communication methods beyond just mobile networks [5][6]. Group 2: 5G Evaluation - It is premature to conclude the success of 5G, as its primary goal was to transition from consumer internet to industry internet, which requires more time for application development [7][8]. - The success of 6G is expected to be higher than that of 5G due to the lessons learned and the evolving industry landscape [8]. Group 3: Demand-Driven Development - The primary demand driving 6G development is expected to come from the AI wave, with AI applications requiring higher network performance [9][11]. - 6G will also address other communication scenarios, such as integrated communication across various domains [11]. Group 4: Evolution of Network Upgrades - The traditional ten-year upgrade cycle for mobile communication technology may change based on emerging demands, which could lead to more frequent or delayed upgrades [12][13]. - The current 5G infrastructure, with over 483.8 million base stations in China, highlights the need to maximize the value of existing investments before moving to 6G [13]. Group 5: Challenges Ahead for 6G - There are significant technical risks associated with achieving the ambitious goals of 6G, including limitations in frequency efficiency and the need for new technologies [16][18]. - The potential for standard fragmentation due to geopolitical tensions poses a risk to the unified development of 6G [20][21]. - The competition in the communication sector is expected to intensify, necessitating continuous innovation and investment to maintain a competitive edge [21][23].