调查：政府政策将推动2026年矿业投资活动
Wen Hua Cai Jing·2026-01-23 11:10

Core Insights - Geopolitical events are shifting focus to the mining industry, highlighting long-ignored supply chain risks [1] - Policy-driven investment cycles are changing the landscape, with government support driving interest in critical mineral projects [1][2] - The mining sector is expected to experience a politicalization that creates both opportunities and risks for miners and investors [3] Geopolitical Factors - Unprecedented policy support for new mining projects reflects the geopolitical urgency to secure critical mineral supplies [2] - Supply chain disruptions from 2025 remain a significant risk, with fragmented national policies also posing challenges [2] - A majority of investors anticipate increasing divergence in trade and critical mineral policies among major economies over the next 12 months [2] Investment Trends - The funding gap between the U.S. and Europe is expected to create opportunities in the mining sector [3] - While policy support may benefit mining companies, it could also lead to potential investment bubbles due to over-expansion [3] - Demand for metals is primarily driven by market forces rather than policy, which is crucial for stabilizing prices and investments [3] Metal Performance - Copper and gold are projected to be the biggest winners in 2026, continuing strong performance from 2025 [4] - Other minerals show mixed expectations, with basic metals likely to consolidate and rare earths experiencing a political bull market [4] - Coal is expected to perform poorly, followed by lithium [4] M&A Trends - National policy turbulence, resource nationalism, and capital costs may hinder M&A activity, but could also serve as potential drivers for transactions [5] - The availability of assets is identified as a major barrier to M&A, with about 20% of respondents highlighting this issue [6] - Strategic partnerships among industry players are anticipated to be the most likely form of transaction activity, with government and private sector collaborations expected to support M&A growth [7]