Juewei Food (SH:603517) Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao·2026-01-23 12:38Core Viewpoint - ST Juewei, known as the "Duck Neck King," is facing its first annual loss since its listing, with projected revenue declining by 12.09% to 15.29% year-on-year, leading to a net loss of 1.6 billion to 2.2 billion yuan in 2025, compared to a profit of 2.27 billion yuan the previous year [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects revenue for 2025 to be between 5.3 billion and 5.5 billion yuan, marking a significant decline from previous years [1] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be a loss of 1.6 billion to 2.2 billion yuan, a stark contrast to the profit of 2.27 billion yuan in 2024, marking the lowest profit since its listing in 2017 [1][2] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 280 million yuan, indicating a substantial fourth-quarter loss of 4.4 billion to 5 billion yuan [1][2] Group 2: Operational Challenges - The company cites increased non-operating expenses and losses from equity investments as key factors contributing to its financial struggles [3] - ST Juewei's investments in various brands within the food and beverage sector have not yielded positive returns, with investment losses recorded at -94 million yuan, -116 million yuan, and -160 million yuan from 2022 to 2024 [3] - The company has shown signs of operational weakness, with revenue declining by 13.84% and net profit dropping by 34.04% in 2024 [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The company is experiencing a contraction in store numbers, with a peak of 15,950 stores in 2023, but a significant reduction to 10,713 stores by 2025, indicating a shift in its growth strategy [4] - Increased competition in the snack food industry is further squeezing the company's core business, with revenue from poultry products dropping from 3.444 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2023 to 2.434 billion yuan in the same period of 2025 [4] - The company is shifting its strategic focus from deepening its core duck neck business to concentrating on the broader snack food sector and addressing specific consumer demands [4] Group 4: Regulatory Issues - In 2025, the company faced regulatory penalties for failing to recognize revenue from franchise store renovations, resulting in a fine of 4 million yuan and further damaging market confidence [6] - The company’s stock was placed under risk warning and subsequently removed from the Hang Seng A-share investable index, leading to a significant decline in market valuation [6] - As of January 23, 2026, the company's stock price was 13.07 yuan per share, down 2.17%, with a market capitalization of 7.92 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of over 22% since the beginning of 2025 [6]