75%产品四季度盈利，公募REITs转向深耕底层资产

Core Insights - The Chinese public REITs market faced dual shocks in Q4 2025, with both performance and market conditions deteriorating [1][2] - The market logic has shifted from previous trends of declining interest rates to a deeper exploration of the operational quality of underlying assets [2][7] Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, 77 public REITs reported a total revenue of 5.913 billion yuan, but net profit fell to 526 million yuan, marking a 42.83% decline from Q3's 920 million yuan [3] - The net profit in Q4 2025 was the lowest of the year, with earlier quarters showing higher profits of 840 million yuan and 763 million yuan in Q1 and Q2 respectively [3] - 58 out of 77 public REITs (75%) were profitable in Q4, with 26 products exceeding 10 million yuan in net profit [3] Market Trends - The overall REITs index declined by 4.37% in Q4 2025, reflecting a weak secondary market [4] - Transaction activity showed structural differentiation, with transportation infrastructure leading at 6.494 billion yuan, followed by park and consumer infrastructure [4] - New infrastructure sectors, particularly data centers, performed well, with average gains of 4.94% [4] Market Development - Over the past four years, REITs have exhibited risk-return characteristics between stocks and bonds, with overall performance surpassing major equity assets [5][7] - The market has transitioned through various phases, from exploration to value recovery, and now to normalized issuance and a bull market driven by declining interest rates [6][7] Future Outlook - The long-term potential for public REITs remains positive, supported by ongoing policy initiatives, including the introduction of commercial real estate REITs [7][8] - The market is expected to see stable growth in the number and scale of REITs, with total market value projected to increase from over 200 billion yuan to 500 billion yuan in the next five years [8] - Investment strategies should focus on high-quality assets with stable cash flows and growth potential, particularly in sectors benefiting from policy support [9]