Group 1 - Economists now expect the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts until June, a shift from previous expectations of a March cut due to persistent inflation pressures and stabilization in the labor market [2] - The anticipated inflation indicator favored by decision-makers is expected to remain above the 2% target at least until mid-next year [2] - Following two consecutive quarters of the strongest economic growth since 2021, there is no immediate pressure for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, with GDP growth for Q4 last year projected at 2.1%, more than double previous estimates [2] Group 2 - There is a divergence among officials regarding the timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts, with concerns about inflation being a primary reason for caution [3] - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is expected to average 2.7% this year, easing to 2.2% by mid-2027 [3] - Trust in the Federal Reserve is crucial for market operations, as highlighted by concerns over the independence of the Fed amid political pressures [3]
3月降息梦碎？经济学家集体改口：美联储或将等到6月才动手！
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2026-01-23 15:03