If Markets Fall, How Resilient Is Coinbase Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase Global (COIN) shares have experienced a 10.2% decline over the past five trading days, raising concerns about the impact of geopolitical tensions and delayed cryptocurrency regulations on the company's performance [1] Company Position - Coinbase Global is currently valued at $58 billion, with a revenue of $7.0 billion and a trading price of $226.93 [3] - The company has achieved a revenue growth of 48.6% over the last 12 months, alongside an operating margin of 27.0% [3] Historical Performance - Historically, COIN has delivered a median return of 18.3% within a year following sharp declines since 2010, indicating potential for recovery [4] - The stock has dropped 90.9% from its peak of $357.39 on November 9, 2021, to $32.53 on December 28, 2022, while the S&P 500 experienced a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% during the same period [10] Downturn Resilience - Concerns arise regarding COIN's resilience if the market declines further, particularly if the stock decreases an additional 20-30% to $159 [5] - COIN has performed significantly worse than the S&P 500 during various economic downturns, both in terms of the extent of decline and recovery speed [5] Liquidity and Valuation - Coinbase Global has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.08 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.41, indicating strong liquidity [9] - The shares are currently trading at a P/E multiple of 20.2 and a P/EBIT multiple of 16.3, suggesting a high valuation [9]