人民币对美元汇率中间价升破“7”

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China announced a rise in the RMB exchange rate against the USD, reaching 6.9929, the highest since May 2023, indicating a strengthening trend influenced by various internal and external factors [1]. Group 1: Exchange Rate Movements - The central bank's middle rate for the RMB against the USD was set at 6.9929, an increase of 90 basis points from the previous day's rate of 7.0019 [1]. - Both offshore and onshore RMB appreciated against the USD, with projections indicating that by the end of 2025, both rates may break the "7" mark [1]. Group 2: Economic Factors - Analyst Lou Feipeng from Postal Savings Bank noted that the RMB's strengthening is a result of market supply and demand, policy guidance, and external environment interactions [1]. - Chief Economist Guan Tao from China International Capital Corporation mentioned that multiple factors influencing the RMB's fluctuations will persist into 2026 [1]. Group 3: Macroeconomic Support - PBOC Deputy Governor Zou Lan highlighted that China's large market size, complete industrial chain, and accelerating technological and industrial innovation support the stability of the RMB exchange rate [1]. - The macroeconomic fundamentals are expected to remain positive, contributing to the stability of the RMB [1]. Group 4: External Challenges - Despite the positive outlook, external conditions remain complex, with uncertainties in interest rate adjustments among major economies and potential geopolitical shocks that could affect exchange rate trends [1]. - Zou Lan indicated that the RMB is expected to continue to float in both directions, maintaining its elasticity [1].