三月降息梦碎？经济学家集体改口：美联储或将等到6月才动手！

Group 1 - Economists now expect the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts until June, a shift from previous expectations of a March cut due to persistent inflation pressures and stabilization in the labor market [1] - The anticipated inflation indicator favored by decision-makers is expected to remain above the 2% target at least until mid-next year [1] - Following three consecutive rate cuts by the end of 2025, it is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at the upcoming meeting [1] Group 2 - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy costs, is projected to average 2.7% this year, easing to 2.2% by mid-2027 [2] - There are divisions among officials regarding the pace and magnitude of rate cuts, with some expressing concerns about inflation [2] - Trust in the Federal Reserve is crucial for market operations, as highlighted by the potential threats to its independence during the Trump administration [2]