特朗普“石油如意算盘”落空，中国淡定转身，拥抱俄罗斯低价油

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the U.S. strategy to control Venezuelan oil and weaken energy cooperation between China and Venezuela, highlighting the rising oil prices and the implications for China's energy imports [1][3][9]. Group 1: U.S. Strategy and Venezuelan Oil - The U.S. aims to control Venezuelan oil to undermine Chinese and Russian energy cooperation, with Trump openly stating this objective [1]. - The U.S. government allows China to purchase Venezuelan oil but requires transactions at "fair market prices," with current prices rising from $31 to $45 per barrel [1]. - U.S. politicians believe that controlling Venezuela's oil, which has the world's largest reserves, will give them leverage over China, the largest oil importer [3]. Group 2: China's Oil Imports and Market Dynamics - In 2024, China's oil imports from Venezuela are projected to be only 149.83 million tons, accounting for just 0.27% of its total imports, a significant drop from 0.07% in the previous year [3]. - China's past purchases of Venezuelan oil were based on long-term agreements rather than dependency, aimed at helping Venezuela repay debts [3]. - The influx of low-priced Russian oil into China has surged, with daily imports reaching 400,000 barrels, as India reduces its purchases of Russian oil due to U.S. sanctions [5]. Group 3: Challenges in Venezuelan Oil Production - Venezuela's oil industry faces significant challenges, including the high technical requirements for extracting and refining its heavy, sulfur-rich crude, along with deteriorating infrastructure and political instability [7]. - Even U.S. oil companies are reluctant to invest in Venezuelan oil production due to these issues, undermining the U.S. narrative of control [7][8]. Group 4: China's Energy Cooperation Approach - China maintains a principle of equal and mutually beneficial energy cooperation, contrasting with the U.S. approach of military intervention and sanctions [8]. - China's energy trade with Russia utilizes local currencies to break the dollar monopoly, fostering a broader network of partnerships in the global energy market [8]. - The article suggests that U.S. attempts to manipulate oil prices to pressure China are misguided, as they underestimate China's strategic energy planning and the collaborative nature of the global energy market [9].