Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-24 18:26Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Petrochemical is expected to report a significant net loss for the year 2025, primarily due to declining international crude oil prices, weak product demand, narrowing refining margins, and a major maintenance shutdown in the fourth quarter [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 23, 2026, Shanghai Petrochemical's stock closed at 3.07 yuan, a 7.72% increase from the previous week's 2.85 yuan [1]. - The stock reached a high of 3.11 yuan and a low of 2.83 yuan during the week [1]. - The company's current total market capitalization is 32.366 billion yuan, ranking 9th out of 30 in the refining and trading sector and 666th out of 5182 in the A-share market [1]. Group 2: Earnings Forecast - Shanghai Petrochemical forecasts a net loss attributable to shareholders of between 12.89 billion yuan and 15.76 billion yuan for the year 2025 [1][3]. - The expected net loss after excluding non-recurring items is projected to be between 12.80 billion yuan and 15.64 billion yuan [1]. - The previous year's net profit was reported at 3.165 billion yuan [1]. Group 3: Reasons for Loss - The anticipated losses are attributed to several factors: the decline in international crude oil prices, weak market demand for products, reduced refining margins, and a significant maintenance shutdown affecting production volumes in the fourth quarter [1][3]. - The average processing cost of crude oil for 2025 is expected to decrease by 9.57% year-on-year [2].