天风证券：春季行情有望进入第二阶段

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continuation of the upward trend in the stock market since December 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching 4200 points, marking a new high for the phase [1][11] - China's GDP for the year 2025 reached the target of 140 trillion yuan, supported by various economic data indicating a stabilization and improvement in the domestic macroeconomic fundamentals [1][11] - The trading volume in both stock markets has been increasing, with a notable divergence in fund flows: while the issuance of equity mutual funds has decreased, margin financing has seen significant net inflows [1][11] Group 2 - The overall micro liquidity shows a substantial net inflow of margin financing, alongside a return of net inflows from southbound funds [2][12] - The issuance scale of equity mutual funds has decreased, with new issuance at 20.36 billion units, down 20.58% from the previous period [3][13] - Northbound trading activity has increased, with the proportion of northbound trading volume reaching 12.92%, up from 11.88% in the previous period [4][14] Group 3 - Margin financing has seen a significant net inflow of 189.95 billion yuan, marking a 406.04% increase compared to the previous net inflow of 37.54 billion yuan [5][15] - The net subscription of existing stock ETFs has turned into a net outflow of 143.63 billion yuan, contrasting with a net inflow of 31.23 billion yuan in the previous period [6][16] - The total equity financing scale has risen to 71.88 billion yuan, reflecting a 28.71% increase from the previous period's total of 55.85 billion yuan [7][18] Group 4 - The net reduction in industrial capital has widened to 31.54 billion yuan, compared to a net reduction of 17.44 billion yuan in the previous period [8][19] - The lock-up release scale has decreased to 213.88 billion yuan, down 14.25% from the previous period's 249.43 billion yuan [9][19] - Southbound funds have seen a net inflow of 38.31 billion yuan, reversing from a net outflow of 1.10 billion yuan in the previous period, indicating a positive shift in investor sentiment [10][20]