Tesla Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026?​

Core Viewpoint - The future of Tesla is heavily reliant on its robotaxi rollout, which is a pivotal year for the autonomous taxi sector [1] Group 1: Robotaxi Rollout - Tesla's robotaxi ambitions present significant earnings potential, but there is ongoing debate regarding growth and rollout timing [1] - Elon Musk's previous estimates for the rollout have not materialized as expected, leading to criticism from investors [3] - As of January 2026, Tesla's robotaxis are operating with safety monitors in Austin, Texas, and the San Francisco Bay Area [5] Group 2: Investor Expectations - Tesla's interaction with the investment community is unique, with a focus on "underpromise and overdeliver" [2] - Missed expectations, such as those related to the robotaxi rollout, are often used against the company by investors [4][8] - Investors are divided, with some viewing Tesla as behind in the rollout and lacking necessary regulatory approvals [8] Group 3: Cybercab Production - Tesla plans to ramp up production of its dedicated robotaxi, Cybercab, with mass production expected to begin in April [6] - Musk indicated that the rate of regulatory approvals will likely align closely with Cybercab production, though initial production may be slow [7] Group 4: Market Impact - Tesla aims to fundamentally change the mobility market, with Cybercabs expected to offer significantly lower costs compared to traditional taxis [10] - Delays in milestones do not diminish the potential for substantial recurring income from ride-hail revenue [10][11] - Investors are willing to overlook delays, viewing Tesla as a high-risk/high-reward investment opportunity [11]