投资前瞻（1.26—2.1）｜50万亿元居民存款即将到期，钱何处去；从“规模导向”到“投资者回报导向”，公募基金业绩比较基准指引来了

Macro and Financial - China's GDP is projected to grow by 5% in 2025, reaching 140.19 trillion yuan, with a 4.5% growth in Q4 [5] - The Ministry of Finance has launched a package of policies to promote domestic demand, focusing on expanding private investment and boosting consumer spending [6][7] - The People's Bank of China indicates there is still room for interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in 2026 [7] - The first Loan Prime Rate (LPR) of 2026 remains unchanged at 3.0% for one year and 3.5% for five years, with potential for future reductions [7] Capital Market - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued new guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks, effective March 1, 2026, aiming to shift the industry focus from scale to investor returns [14] - The CSRC has also imposed a fine of 5.11 billion yuan on an individual for manipulating stock prices, alongside a three-year market ban [15] - Shanghai has introduced 18 measures to enhance the trading capacity of non-ferrous metal commodities, aiming to improve global resource allocation and pricing influence [16] Precious Metals Market - The global metals market is experiencing a significant surge, with gold and silver reaching their highest weekly gains since 2020, and silver prices surpassing 100 dollars per ounce for the first time [17][20] - The weakening of the US dollar has led to increased demand for safe-haven assets, contributing to the rise in precious metal prices [20] Business and Industry - Beijing has issued measures to encourage capable enterprises to engage in mergers and acquisitions within the satellite data industry, aiming to create globally competitive companies [21] - The first A-share IPO of 2026 has been accepted, with Shanghai Suiruan Technology aiming to raise 6 billion yuan for AI chip development [22] - The commercial aerospace company Zhongke Aerospace has completed its IPO counseling, marking a significant step in its market entry [23]