美联储：1月降息25基点概率2.8%，3月累计降25基点概率15.5%

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 2.8%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 97.2% [1] - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.5%, with an 84.1% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0.4% probability of a 50 basis point cut [1]