图谋修改“无核三原则”，高度警惕日本重拾核武装旧梦

Core Viewpoint - Japan's recent political discourse indicates a potential shift towards nuclear armament, challenging its post-war pacifist stance and raising concerns about regional security and global nuclear non-proliferation efforts [1][3]. Group 1: Japan's Military Aspirations - The right-wing factions in Japan are pushing for a re-evaluation of the post-war military constraints, aiming to accumulate political capital for amending the "Peace Constitution" and establishing Japan as a "military power" [2]. - Discussions surrounding nuclear policy are intended to weaken the post-war system's restrictions, indicating a desire for military expansion [2]. Group 2: Testing Policy Boundaries - Japanese politicians are using provocative statements about nuclear armament to gauge domestic and international reactions, assessing the feasibility and resistance to nuclear armament for future policy adjustments [2]. - This strategy serves as a means to prepare public opinion for potential policy changes regarding nuclear capabilities [2]. Group 3: Enhancing Deterrence and Alliance Dynamics - Japan views "self-reliant nuclear capabilities" as a way to reduce dependence on its alliance with the United States and to enhance its own deterrent power [2]. - There is a desire among Japanese right-wing factions to increase their role in nuclear discussions within the alliance, thereby improving their bargaining power in the nuclear deterrence framework [2]. Group 4: Strategic Pressure on Neighbors - Japan aims to strengthen its military deterrence capabilities in the Taiwan Strait, East China Sea, and surrounding areas to influence the strategic calculations and actions of neighboring countries [2]. - This approach seeks to position Japan more favorably within the regional power dynamics [2]. Group 5: Implications of Revising the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" - The potential modification of Japan's "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" poses a significant challenge to the global nuclear non-proliferation framework and could destabilize international peace [3]. - Upholding the integrity of these principles is seen as Japan's responsibility towards history, regional stability, and future generations [3].