Market Overview - The A-share market exhibited a typical structural trend last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuating around 4100 points, slightly increasing by 0.84%. However, major blue-chip indices like the SSE 50 and CSI 300 both closed in the red, while the STAR 50 surged by 2.62%, and mid-cap indices like the CSI 500 and CSI 2000 showed even more significant gains [1] - Market hotspots rapidly rotated, with sectors such as commercial aerospace, space photovoltaic, and power grid equipment being particularly active, while cyclical sectors like building materials and petrochemicals led the gains [1] Economic Data - Economic data released last week indicated that the actual GDP for Q4 2025 grew by 4.5% year-on-year (previous value: 4.8%), with an annual GDP growth of 5% (same as 2024) [2] - In December 2025, industrial added value increased by 5.2% year-on-year (previous value: 4.8%), while retail sales grew by 0.9% (previous value: 1.3%). Fixed asset investment for the entire year decreased by 3.8% (previous value: -2.6%), and real estate investment fell by 17.2% (previous value: -15.9%) [2] - Monthly data for December showed that, apart from strong exports, most indicators continued to show a "low temperature," particularly in consumption and investment, with real estate investment dropping by 35.8%, marking the largest decline since data collection began [2] Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance reached a historical high last week, standing at 2.7 trillion yuan, providing continuous liquidity support to the market [2] - Despite facing outflows, the overall trading activity in the market remained vibrant, with significant sell orders observed in mainstream broad-based ETFs [5] Geopolitical Events - Geopolitical events last week caused fluctuations in market sentiment, particularly regarding the ongoing disputes between the U.S. and Europe over Greenland, which included proposed tariffs by Trump on eight European countries starting February 1 [4] - The crisis surrounding Greenland may lead European countries to sell off trillions of dollars in U.S. debt, impacting global bond markets [4] Federal Reserve Uncertainty - Uncertainty regarding the selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair increased last week, with Trump expressing a desire for Hassett to continue as a White House advisor and mentioning other potential candidates [5] - The U.S. Supreme Court has yet to make a ruling on Trump's tariffs, which may delay expectations for a swift resolution [5]
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Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-26 01:41