九洲集团：2025年业绩大幅提升 紧抓电网投资与AI算力新机遇

Core Viewpoint - JiuZhou Group (300040.SZ) is expected to achieve a net profit of 40 million to 50 million yuan for the year 2025, marking a turnaround from losses to profitability, with improved earnings capacity [1] Group 1: Performance Recovery - The successful turnaround to profitability is attributed to refined operations and improved profitability in the biomass sector [2] - Continuous promotion of refined management and optimization of operational processes have effectively reduced operational costs, leading to an overall improvement in profitability [2] - The biomass power generation business is expected to stabilize in 2025, with anticipated continuous improvement in cash flow and no significant asset impairment [2] Group 2: Market Expansion - JiuZhou Group's smart distribution network equipment business is driven by both domestic and international markets [2] - Domestically, the company has gained supplier qualifications for China National Petroleum and has entered the whitelist of major clients like State Grid Jiangsu [2] - Internationally, JiuZhou Group has successfully won a bid for a 400MW/800MWh energy storage project in Uzbekistan, marking significant progress in the Belt and Road Initiative and Central Asian market expansion [2] Group 3: Policy Support and Growth Potential - The smart distribution network business is entering a new prosperity cycle, with the State Grid's fixed asset investment expected to reach 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan [3] - This investment will focus on ultra-high voltage, digitalization of the grid, and upgrading distribution networks, creating stable order sources and growth opportunities for equipment manufacturers [3] - JiuZhou Group is a qualified supplier for the State Grid, with annual contracts accounting for about one-third of its smart distribution network business [3] Group 4: New Demand from AI and Power Supply - The rapid development of AI data centers (AIDC) is driving new demands for power quality, supply stability, and energy efficiency, leading to growth in HVDC and modular UPS markets [4] - JiuZhou Group has over 30 years of industry experience and a rich product matrix, having developed modular UPS and HVDC products tailored for computing centers [4] - The company's solid technical reserves and product strength are expected to translate into sustained growth and new development momentum under the dual drivers of new power system construction and the explosion of AI computing power demand [4]