Nanhua Futures(SH:603093) Jin Tou Wang·2026-01-26 06:02Group 1 - The domestic futures market showed a significant increase on January 26, with the European shipping index futures main contract opening at 1150.0 points and reaching a high of 1225.0 points, marking a rise of 5.63% [1] - The European shipping index is currently experiencing a strong upward trend, with expectations of increased cargo pressure as the Spring Festival approaches, leading to a potential decline in freight rates during the pre-holiday period [2] - The market is observing a divergence between spot price declines and future contract expectations, influenced by macroeconomic data and uncertainties related to trade protectionism [2] Group 2 - Current market conditions are in a downward phase for spot prices, with the April contract price nearing the previous off-season contract level, while the June contract valuation has risen to approximately $2000/FEU, exceeding this year's long-term contract price average [3] - The overall market is expected to shift towards a weak and volatile trend due to the lack of new positive drivers, with future contract performance largely dependent on the realization of demand-side "rush shipments" post-Spring Festival [3] - The performance of long-term contracts will primarily hinge on developments in the Middle East and the actual progress of shipping routes in the Red Sea [3]