The Zacks Analyst Blog Tesla, Cummins, BorgWarner and Rivian

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is set to report its Q4 2025 earnings on January 28, with expectations of growth in its Energy Generation and Storage business despite a decline in vehicle deliveries [2]. Group 1: Tesla's Performance - Tesla's Q3 production totaled 447,450 units, a 5% year-over-year decline, while Q4 deliveries reached a record 497,099 cars, up 7.4% from the previous year [3]. - Total automotive revenues for Tesla were $21.2 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates of $18.86 billion [4]. - Energy Generation and Storage revenues were $3.4 billion in Q3 2025, a 44% increase year-over-year, exceeding estimates of $2.9 billion [5]. Group 2: Energy Generation and Storage Business - The Energy Generation and Storage segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by strong demand for products like Megapack and Powerwall [6]. - In Q4, Tesla deployed 14.2 GWh of energy storage products, setting a new record, with expected revenues of $3.4 billion, indicating an 11% year-over-year increase [7]. - The segment boasts a gross margin estimate of 31.1%, an improvement of 5.9 percentage points from the previous year, highlighting its profitability [8]. Group 3: Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tesla's upcoming quarter is $25.11 billion in sales and earnings of 44 cents per share, with a slight decrease in the earnings estimate over the past month [9]. - Tesla's current Earnings ESP is +3.15%, but the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat due to a lack of favorable conditions [10]. Group 4: Competitor Insights - Cummins Inc. is expected to report Q4 results on February 5, with an Earnings ESP of +4.82% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [11]. - BorgWarner is scheduled to report on February 11, with an Earnings ESP of +4.47% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [12]. - Rivian Automotive, set to report on February 12, has an Earnings ESP of +12.02% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [13].