Core Viewpoint - MicroPort Medical (00853) expects to turn a profit in 2025, projecting a net profit of at least $20 million, driven by continuous revenue growth, particularly from its overseas business, which has seen a year-on-year increase of approximately 70% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a turnaround primarily due to sustained revenue growth, despite facing downward pressure on product prices from domestic industry policies [1] - Gross margin is expected to improve by 2-3 percentage points year-on-year, aided by cost optimization measures [1] - Operating expenses have decreased by approximately 10-11% year-on-year during the reporting period [1] - The disposal of subsidiaries has also contributed positively to MicroPort Medical's financial performance [1] Group 2: Stock Market Reaction - Following the positive earnings announcement, MicroPort Medical's stock price opened high on January 23, reaching a peak increase of 12.84% before declining to a less than 4% gain by the morning close [3] - The trading volume on that day reached 77.07 million shares, setting a new record since October of the previous year [3] - The stock has experienced a significant decline from its peak of HKD 16.28 on October 8 to a low of HKD 9.80, marking a maximum fluctuation of 39.80% over the two-month period [5] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The stock's price action since October 8 has shown a technical regression, with a notable drop following a brief rally [6] - The stock reached a technical bottom on November 19, with a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 2.51, indicating an oversold condition [8] - Following this, a rebound occurred, with the stock price moving between the upper and middle Bollinger Bands until the end of December [8] Group 4: Investor Behavior - Recent trading activity indicates a shift in investor sentiment, with Hong Kong Stock Connect funds becoming net buyers, contrasting previous trends of selling during price increases [9] - Over the last 60 days, the largest net buyer has been the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, acquiring 50.36 million shares [9] - The average holding cost for these funds is HKD 11.23, reflecting a profit margin of 15.46% [9] Group 5: Future Outlook - MicroPort Medical's projected financial improvements align with market expectations, with several brokerage firms raising their profit forecasts following the earnings announcement [11] - The company aims to achieve a net loss of no more than $110 million in the first half of 2025 and a full-year net loss of no more than $55 million, with a target net profit of at least $45 million in the first half of 2026 [12] - The positive earnings outlook has attracted more investor attention, indicating a potential shift from a wait-and-see approach to active investment [12]
年度扭亏盈喜发布，微创医疗股价冲高回落也是“赚钱信号”？