Ge Long Hui·2026-01-26 20:51Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the technological upgrades of Kuaishou's AI video generation capabilities, transitioning from high-quality video generation to reconstructing the AI video creation workflow, indicating a significant evolution in the industry [1]. Investment Highlights - Revenue projections for Kuaishou from FY25 to FY27 are estimated at 142 billion, 156.4 billion, and 170.1 billion RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12%, 10%, and 9% respectively. Adjusted net profits are forecasted at 20.6 billion, 23.7 billion, and 28.1 billion RMB, with year-on-year increases of 16%, 15%, and 19% [1]. - The global video streaming revenue is expected to reach 214.6 billion USD by 2025, with an estimated AI video penetration rate of 10%, leading to a Total Addressable Market (TAM) for AI video of 25 billion USD. A bottom-up approach suggests a TAM of 21.8 billion USD, indicating significant market potential [1]. - Kuaishou's valuation is set with a target price of 104 HKD, based on a 15x PE for traditional business and a 30x PS for its AI capabilities, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Industry Dynamics - The AIGC video generation sector is entering a phase of differentiation characterized by general models versus vertical capabilities and platform ecosystems. Kuaishou's model stands out for its integrated audio-visual generation and cost-effective batch production capabilities [2]. - Kuaishou has established a closed loop of technology, ecosystem, and monetization, showcasing long-term value. In Q1 to Q3 of 2025, Kuaishou's revenues were 150 million, 250 million, and 300 million RMB respectively, with a monthly revenue exceeding 20 million USD in December 2025, indicating a strong annual revenue run rate of 240 million USD [2]. - By the end of 2025, Kuaishou AI is projected to have 60 million creators globally, generating over 600 million videos and collaborating with more than 30,000 enterprise users, highlighting its commercial viability [2].