Here's How Much Traders Expect Tesla Stock to Move After Earnings This Week

Core Insights - Tesla is expected to report its fourth-quarter financial results, with traders anticipating a significant stock movement of about 5% in either direction following the announcement [1][7] - The company is facing declining vehicle sales, but investors are focusing on its growth potential in artificial intelligence, self-driving cars, and robotics [3] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter, Tesla is projected to report revenue of $25.1 billion, which represents a decline of approximately 2.4% year-over-year, with adjusted earnings per share expected to be $0.46, down from $0.60 last year [6] Market Expectations - Options pricing indicates that Tesla's stock could fluctuate between $412 and $459 by the end of the week, based on Monday's closing price of around $435 [1][7] - Wall Street analysts are divided on Tesla's stock, with six out of eleven analysts rating it as a "buy," three as "hold," and two as "sell," with an average price target of $446, indicating a modest 2% potential rise from the recent close [7] Strategic Developments - CEO Elon Musk is expected to discuss advancements in self-driving technology and robotics during the earnings call, which could become key revenue drivers as EV sales face challenges [2] - Tesla plans to start selling its Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of next year, as mentioned by Musk [2] - The company has removed human safety monitors from some of its robotaxis in Austin, which analysts suggest could be a significant step for its robotaxi strategy [5] Revenue Streams - Sales from Optimus robots and subscriptions for Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) software are critical metrics for Musk's compensation agreement, with FSD transitioning to a recurring subscription model starting next month [4]