卓创资讯：市场信心逐渐有所修复 带动纯苯底部支撑走强

Core Viewpoint - The domestic pure benzene market is expected to maintain a strong oscillating trend in the first quarter, influenced by refinery maintenance schedules and increasing production capacity [1] Supply Side - There will be fewer refinery maintenance activities in the next three months, with 2026 being a year of minor maintenance, leading to higher operating rates and increased production from domestic refineries [1] - The recovery of disproportionation profits is anticipated to boost pure benzene production in the US and South Korea, maintaining domestic import levels at a medium to high range [1] - Overall supply remains ample, which continues to exert pressure on spot prices [1] Demand Side - Increased operational activity in downstream facilities before the Spring Festival and pre-holiday stockpiling are expected to benefit the market [1] - Post-holiday, terminal demand is gradually recovering, providing some support for prices from the demand side [1] Macro Environment - The chemical market is projected to strengthen after 2026, and rising oil prices due to geopolitical uncertainties may also provide a positive boost to the pure benzene market [1] Market Outlook - The pure benzene market is likely to remain in a state of contention between bullish and bearish forces in the first quarter, with market confidence gradually recovering [1] - The focus of market negotiations may further increase, although the upward rebound space is limited due to supply constraints [1]