从历史规律到当前信号,流动性溢价下,为何看好中小盘?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-27 04:29

Core Viewpoint - The recent upward trend in the net value curve of the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF (159552) indicates a market-driven style shift, with investors recognizing a wave of capital inflow [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Historical data shows that each significant increase in trading volume is accompanied by a strong rise in small-cap stocks, with the CSI 2000 outperforming the CSI 300 by 196% during the 2014-2015 market surge [2] - Since January, the average daily trading volume of A-shares has stabilized above 2.5 trillion, signaling the start of a new style rotation [3] Group 2: Performance and Strategy - Past trends indicate that small-cap outperformance typically lasts 2-3 months following a breakthrough in trading volume, suggesting potential for continuation in the current cycle [5] - The current macroeconomic environment, characterized by loose monetary policy and supportive policies for emerging industries, provides a solid foundation for the continuation of small-cap performance [5] - The CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF serves as an effective tool to capture this historical opportunity, tracking the CSI 2000 index closely and benefiting from liquidity premiums, with an annualized excess return of 19.87% since inception [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The ongoing macro liquidity supports small-cap stocks, while emerging industry transformations open growth opportunities for small enterprises, particularly in dynamic sectors like AI and high-end manufacturing [6] - The CSI 1000 Enhanced ETF (159680) has also shown strength recently, with an annualized excess return of 10.49%, allowing investors to build a "high elasticity + stable growth" small-cap portfolio based on their risk preferences [6]

从历史规律到当前信号,流动性溢价下,为何看好中小盘? - Reportify