TFC(SZ:300394) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-27 12:38Core Viewpoint - The company has lowered its profit forecast and target price while maintaining a buy rating, with performance slightly below expectations but demand remaining strong [1][2]. Financial Summary - The company has revised its 2025 net profit forecast to 2.08 billion yuan (previously 2.254 billion yuan), corresponding to an EPS of 2.68 yuan. The net profit for 2026 and 2027 remains unchanged at 3.328 billion yuan and 3.999 billion yuan, with EPS of 4.28 yuan and 5.14 yuan respectively. The target price has been adjusted to 248.2 yuan (previously 250 yuan), based on an industry average valuation and the company's position, applying a 58x PE for 2026 [2]. Performance Insights - The company's performance is slightly below expectations, with non-recurring gains and losses expected to impact net profit attributable to shareholders by approximately 42 million to 52 million yuan, compared to 29.5374 million yuan in the same period last year. Despite foreign exchange losses increasing financial expenses year-on-year, the overall operational resilience is strong, with core business growth offsetting external financial fluctuations. The quality of earnings is significantly better than the industry average [3]. Industry Trends - The rapid development of the artificial intelligence industry and global data center construction is driving stable growth in demand for high-speed optical device products. The company is recognized as a core supplier by Nvidia, with expectations for accelerated delivery schedules for major clients in the 800G/1.6T segment in Q1 [3]. Catalysts - Continuous capacity expansion and quarter-on-quarter revenue growth are expected to act as catalysts for the company's performance [4].