Tesla Q4 earnings expected to show delivery momentum and energy upside

Core Viewpoint - Tesla Inc is expected to report its Q4 2025 earnings, with a focus on its advancements in autonomous driving and robotics as demand stabilizes [1] Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, Tesla's revenue is forecasted to be around $25 billion, with automotive revenue near $18 billion, driven by strong EV deliveries and energy generation [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is anticipated to be $0.45, with potential for higher figures due to the energy division's better margin profile compared to the EV business [3] Autonomous Driving and Robotics - The narrative surrounding Tesla is shifting towards its autonomous ambitions, particularly the rollout of Robotaxis and the removal of safety drivers from its fleet [4][5] - Full self-driving (FSD) penetration is expected to exceed 50%, which could significantly alter Tesla's financial model and margins [3] Market Outlook - Analysts predict that Tesla could achieve a market cap of $2 trillion within the next year, and potentially $3 trillion by the end of 2026, with a projected 70% share of the global autonomous market over the next decade [8] - The upcoming year is viewed as a pivotal moment for Tesla, with expectations of aggressive Robotaxi rollouts to over 30 US cities by 2026 [6] Strategic Developments - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk is anticipated to discuss the Cybercab and Optimus initiatives during the earnings call, highlighting the company's strategic direction [5] - Regulatory changes in 2026 may favor federal oversight of autonomous vehicle regulations, potentially benefiting Tesla's operations [6]