3 Reasons to Hold Netflix Stock Following Solid Q4 Earnings
NetflixNetflix(US:NFLX) ZACKS·2026-01-28 16:25

Core Insights - Netflix reported strong Q4 2025 results with revenues of $12.05 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, and earnings per share of 56 cents, a 31% improvement from the previous year, surpassing analyst expectations [1][2] - The company surpassed 325 million paid memberships globally, indicating a significant audience reach [1] - Despite strong performance, the stock has seen recent weakness, prompting investors to evaluate entry points carefully [1] Financial Performance - Operating income increased by 30% year-over-year to $2.96 billion, with operating margin improving by 2 percentage points to 24.5% [2] - Non-GAAP free cash flow for the quarter was $1.87 billion, up from $1.38 billion in the same period last year [2] Future Guidance - Management projects 2026 revenues between $50.7 billion and $51.7 billion, reflecting a growth of 12% to 14% driven by membership expansion, pricing optimization, and advertising revenue growth [3] - First-quarter 2026 revenues are expected to reach $12.16 billion, indicating a 15.3% year-over-year growth, with an operating margin target of 31.5% for 2026 [4] Advertising Strategy - The advertising business is maturing, with AI tools being deployed to enhance campaign effectiveness [5] - Netflix began testing AI-powered solutions for custom advertisements and plans to expand these capabilities throughout 2026 [5] Content Expansion - Netflix announced partnerships with Spotify, The Ringer, iHeartMedia, and Barstool Sports to introduce over 30 video podcasts starting January 2026, targeting younger demographics [6] - The 2026 content slate includes over 160 confirmed titles, featuring major releases and high-profile films and series [8] Acquisition of Warner Bros. - Netflix announced an agreement to acquire Warner Bros. for approximately $82.7 billion, which includes significant film and television assets [9] - The acquisition is expected to close after the separation of Discovery Global in Q3 2026, pending regulatory approvals [9] Valuation and Market Position - Netflix trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26.88, a premium compared to the industry average of 24.51 [10] - The stock has declined 26.8% over the past six months, underperforming major competitors, which may present entry opportunities for investors [14]