美联储利率决议前：本次会议维持利率不变的概率为97.2%

Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 2.8%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 97.2% [1] - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 15.5%, with an 84.2% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0.4% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [1] Summary by Category - Interest Rate Projections - January rate cut probability of 25 basis points: 2.8% [1] - January rate maintenance probability: 97.2% [1] - March cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut: 15.5% [1] - March probability of maintaining rates: 84.2% [1] - Cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut by March: 0.4% [1]