Starbucks Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Core Insights - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is a leading coffee roaster, marketer, and retailer with a market cap of $109.5 billion, specializing in premium coffee and food offerings across international markets [1] Performance Overview - Over the past 52 weeks, SBUX shares have declined by 2.5%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which gained 13.9%. However, year-to-date (YTD), SBUX stock is up 14.4%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.5% return [2] - SBUX has also underperformed the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY), which increased by 6.4% over the past 52 weeks, but has outpaced XLY's 2.4% YTD rise [3] Q4 Financial Results - In Q4, SBUX reported mixed results with revenue increasing by 5.5% year-over-year to $9.6 billion, surpassing consensus expectations by 2.6%. However, adjusted EPS fell by 35% year-over-year to $0.52, missing analyst estimates by 5.5% due to restructuring costs and a decline in its North American Coffee Partnership [4] Future Earnings Expectations - For fiscal 2026, analysts project SBUX's EPS to rise by 9.9% year-over-year to $2.34. The company's earnings surprise history has been disappointing, missing consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 35 analysts covering SBUX, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 17 "Strong Buy," 2 "Moderate Buy," 10 "Hold," 2 "Moderate Sell," and 4 "Strong Sell" ratings. This configuration has changed from the previous month, where 16 analysts suggested a "Strong Buy" [5][6]