非洲经济在转型中积蓄增长动能（国际视点）

Core Insights - The digital financial service M-Pesa is transforming lives in rural Kenya, providing access to banking services through mobile technology, with over 51 million users across Africa, highlighting the importance of digital financial inclusion in the continent's economic growth [2] - The IMF projects that Africa's economy will show resilience and steady growth, with a forecasted growth rate of over 4% in 2026, surpassing the global average [2][3] - The African Development Bank reports that Africa will remain a hub for high-growth economies, with some countries expected to achieve double-digit growth by 2026 [3][4] Economic Growth Projections - Africa's economic growth is projected at approximately 4.2% in 2025 and 4.3% in 2026, with 13 countries expected to exceed 6% growth [3][4] - Public debt as a percentage of GDP is expected to decrease from 66.3% in 2023 to 65.5% in 2024, maintaining below 65% through 2026, indicating a more stable macroeconomic environment [3] Regional Performance - East Africa is projected to maintain a growth rate of about 6.2% in 2026, driven by investments in agriculture and energy infrastructure [4] - West Africa is undergoing significant economic transformation, with countries like Senegal, Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire, and Ghana expected to see growth rates surpassing 6% [4] - Southern Africa faces slower growth due to challenges such as power shortages and high-interest rates, but a moderate recovery is anticipated in the latter half of 2026 [4] Digital and Green Energy Initiatives - The rapid adoption of digital technology and green energy projects is seen as a key driver of economic growth in Africa, with over 800 million active mobile payment accounts in sub-Saharan Africa [5][6] - The African e-commerce market is growing rapidly, with user numbers expected to reach approximately 518 million by 2025 and a market size of around $84 billion by 2030 [5] Infrastructure and Trade Developments - Significant progress is being made in infrastructure projects, such as the completion of the Guinea Bissau bridge and the activation of the Tanzania-Zambia railway project, enhancing regional connectivity [8] - China remains Africa's largest trading partner, with trade exceeding $300 billion for the first time, reflecting a diverse and dynamic trade relationship [7][8]