美联储维持利率不变 鲍威尔建议继任者“勿卷入选举政治”

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, aligning with market expectations, while indicating ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Decisions - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concluded its meeting with 10 out of 12 members supporting the decision to keep rates unchanged, while two members advocated for a 25 basis point cut [1] - Powell stated that the current federal funds rate is generally considered "neutral" and highlighted that core inflation in December 2022 likely reached 3% [1] - The Fed may consider easing monetary policy if inflation peaks and begins to decline as previously anticipated [1] Group 2: Economic Conditions - Economic activity in the U.S. is described as "robustly expanding," but there are high levels of uncertainty regarding the economic outlook [1] - Employment growth remains sluggish, with some signs of stabilization in the unemployment rate, while inflation continues to be at elevated levels [1] Group 3: Independence and Future Leadership - Powell emphasized the importance of maintaining the Federal Reserve's independence and advised the next chair not to engage in political disputes [2][3] - The market perceives an 88.6% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged in the next policy meeting, an increase from 82.7% the previous day [3]