SIASUN(SZ:300024) 3 6 Ke·2026-01-29 08:53Core Insights - The Chinese robotics industry is experiencing a shift from showcasing technical capabilities to focusing on practical applications and commercial viability, as investors and customers demand tangible results rather than mere demonstrations [1][2][3] Group 1: Industry Trends - The 2026 outlook report emphasizes that the industry no longer wants to see robots performing tricks but rather engaging in useful tasks, indicating a paradigm shift towards commercial deployment [2][3] - The report highlights a significant disparity between soaring valuations and actual sales, with humanoid robot shipments only increasing by 17% despite a 300% rise in valuations, signaling a potential bubble [2][3] - As the number of robots deployed increases, companies are becoming less tolerant of flashy capabilities and more focused on reliability, predictability, and total cost of ownership [3][4] Group 2: Investment Dynamics - Investment logic is shifting, with a concentration of capital towards a few companies deemed to have commercial validation capabilities, as evidenced by the fact that 88% of funding in 2024-2025 went to large deals [4][5] - The report predicts that only 3-4 companies will emerge as clear winners in the humanoid robot sector, while others may face acquisition or closure due to an inability to balance high technical uncertainty with limited commercial validation [4][5] Group 3: Evaluation Metrics - The evaluation criteria for robots are evolving, with a focus on investment payback periods, task-switching capabilities, and operational data rather than just technical prowess [5][6] - Companies are now required to demonstrate clear task lists, performance metrics, and verifiable operational times before procurement, moving away from vague future potential descriptions [9][10] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The report notes a significant trend towards leasing and Robot-as-a-Service (RaaS) models, with 50% of companies preferring leasing to mitigate upfront costs and risks associated with technology [11][15] - The shift in decision-making power from technical teams to financial and operational departments reflects a growing demand for comprehensive total cost of ownership analyses [11][12] Group 5: Future Predictions - The report forecasts a major reshuffling in the investment landscape, with a predicted doubling of IPOs in the robotics sector in 2026, indicating a rush to lock in valuations before a potential downturn [12][24] - The report identifies a critical opportunity for Chinese companies in the global supply chain, as they possess a complete robotics industry chain despite facing policy barriers in overseas markets [14][15] Group 6: Safety and Standards - The establishment of safety standards is anticipated to be a crucial factor in the industry, with the potential to significantly impact market dynamics and competitive advantages [17][18] - Companies that participate in the development of these standards are likely to gain a first-mover advantage, while those that wait may find their technologies non-compliant [18][24]