轻舟智航联合创始人、董事长兼CEO于骞：2026年开启无人驾驶黄金10年，10万元级车将普及城市NOA

Core Insights - 2026 marks the beginning of a golden decade for autonomous driving, driven by technological advancements and the adoption of "end-to-end" architecture [1] - The introduction of VLA (Vision-Language-Action) models and world models will enable autonomous systems to learn from vast amounts of real and generated data, achieving safety levels over 10 times that of human drivers [1] - The market is expected to see widespread adoption of urban NOA (Navigation On Autopilot) features in vehicles priced around 100,000 yuan by 2026, a significant improvement compared to the capabilities of many L4 autonomous vehicles just two years prior [1] Market Trends - The penetration rate of passenger cars equipped with L2-level driving assistance features reached 64% in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 21.2% [4] - By November 2025, the cumulative sales of passenger cars with urban NOA features reached 3.129 million, accounting for 15.1% of insured passenger vehicles [4] - The majority of urban NOA-equipped vehicles are expected to be priced below 150,000 yuan, with over 68.9% of mainstream models under 300,000 yuan featuring this technology [4] Competitive Landscape - The autonomous driving sector is becoming increasingly competitive, with companies transitioning from traditional technologies like "LiDAR + high-definition maps" to AI-driven solutions [7] - The industry is witnessing a divergence in development directions, particularly between VLA and world models, with a consensus forming around the evolution of autonomous driving technology [7] - The successful differentiation in the market will depend on the ability to translate technology into tangible user experiences rather than just technical concepts [7] Strategic Insights - The million-unit deployment of autonomous driving systems is seen as a critical milestone, with few suppliers able to achieve this level [6] - The compatibility of QCraft's solutions with both new energy vehicles and traditional fuel vehicles provides a strategic advantage for global expansion [5] - The entry of Tesla's FSD into the Chinese market is viewed as a positive development that will expand the overall market rather than just intensifying competition [3][8]