“古巴石油，仅能维持20天不到”

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government's blockade has led to an energy crisis in Cuba, with oil reserves expected to last only 15 to 20 days due to the disruption of supplies from Venezuela and Mexico [1][2]. Group 1: Oil Supply Disruption - Cuba's oil supply from Venezuela, which was at 46,500 barrels per day in December, has been completely cut off following the U.S. military's capture of President Maduro on January 3 [2]. - Mexico's oil exports to Cuba averaged about 17,200 barrels per day for crude oil and 2,000 barrels per day for refined oil from January to September last year, but recent reports indicate that Mexico may halt further shipments due to U.S. pressure [2][5]. - Kpler's analysis indicates that Cuba's oil reserves, combined with a recent shipment from Mexico, can only sustain the country for 15 to 20 days [1][5]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The interruption of oil supplies is expected to have a devastating impact on Cuba's economy, which is already facing stagnation, with declines in tourism and sugar production [5][6]. - Frequent power outages are reported across Cuba, and without a restoration of oil supplies, the country may have to implement strict rationing measures [5][6]. - Experts warn that the economic crisis could threaten the survival of the Cuban government, as the situation becomes increasingly dire [6]. Group 3: Political Context - The U.S. administration is attempting to leverage the oil supply blockade to force Cuba into negotiations, with President Trump asserting that Cuba will soon fail without Venezuelan support [6]. - In response to U.S. threats, Cuban citizens have protested against perceived U.S. imperialism, while the Cuban president has vowed that the country will not be deterred by external pressures [6].