What Could Send Apple Stock To New All-Time Highs?

Core Viewpoint - Apple stock (NASDAQ:AAPL) has a strong history of rapid growth, with significant increases observed in multiple years, suggesting potential for future gains driven by upcoming catalysts [1][3]. Group 1: Historical Performance - Apple stock has experienced above 30% increases in under two months during years such as 2010, 2019, and 2024, with gains surpassing 50% in 2012 and 2020 [1]. - Historical trends indicate that forthcoming catalysts may elevate Apple shares to new significant peaks, benefiting investors who recognize these momentum opportunities [1]. Group 2: Identified Catalysts - Catalyst 1: Generative AI-Driven iPhone Refresh Cycle, expected to drive unit sales growth and higher Average Selling Prices (ASPs) for Pro models, with a potential timeline extending to late 2026 [4][9]. - Catalyst 2: Services Margin Accretion and Profit Engine, with services gross margin consistently around 75% and sustained double-digit growth in high-margin services revenue, anticipated to be discussed in the next earnings call [5][9]. - Catalyst 3: Vision Pro 2 Launch, which is expected to ignite the spatial computing ecosystem, with credible reports of a Spring 2026 release featuring next-gen M-series chip [5][9]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - Revenue growth for Apple is reported at 6.0% for the last twelve months (LTM) and 1.8% for the last three-year average [10]. - The company has a free cash flow margin of nearly 23.5% and an operating margin of 31.9% for LTM [10]. - Apple stock currently trades at a P/E ratio of 38.5, indicating its valuation in the market [10].