印度迎来“春天”？冯德莱恩返程不久，一架飞机坠毁，莫迪痛失一位劲敌

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strategic implications of the India-EU free trade agreement, which aims to reshape economic relations while exposing India's vulnerabilities in international competition [1][3]. - The agreement stipulates that the EU will implement zero tariffs on 99.5% of Indian goods over the next seven years, particularly benefiting labor-intensive sectors like textiles, leather, and pharmaceuticals, thus opening a significant European market for India [1][3]. - In exchange, India will significantly reduce tariffs on EU automobiles and machinery, presenting a seemingly mutually beneficial arrangement, but also revealing the fragility of India's economy under international competition [1][3]. Group 2 - Despite having competitive advantages in IT services and finance, India's economic structure is predominantly service-oriented, with a low manufacturing sector share and a high proportion of small and medium enterprises that are vulnerable to market fluctuations [3]. - The reduction of tariffs on EU automotive and machinery products is expected to impact India's local industries negatively, while short-term benefits in textiles and leather may not be sustainable due to a lack of core technological support in manufacturing [3]. - Institutional shortcomings and execution challenges further amplify the risks associated with the agreement, as effective implementation requires legislative approval and robust policy support, which are currently lacking in India's labor reforms and compliance with EU standards [3]. Group 3 - The recent political turmoil following the plane crash in Maharashtra, which resulted in the death of a key political figure, has intensified power struggles within the region, potentially affecting India's economic stability as Maharashtra contributes nearly 15% of the national GDP [5]. - Despite gaining temporary political advantages, the Modi government faces significant challenges ahead of the 2026 elections, with economic indicators such as GDP growth projected to slow to 6.2% and inflation rising to 4% [5]. - The future trajectory of India's economic development hinges on its ability to navigate the opportunities and risks presented by the free trade agreement, alongside addressing political, economic, and diplomatic challenges [7].