LVMH利润下滑9%，美妆的角色变了

Core Insights - LVMH has experienced a significant business growth over the past decade, but is now entering a "slow normal" phase, with 2025 revenue reported at €80.8 billion (approximately ¥671.6 billion), a decline in revenue and profit compared to the previous year, yet showing signs of stabilization in quarterly performance with a 1% organic revenue growth in Q4 [1][4] Group 1: Financial Performance - The group's revenue and operating profit have decreased year-on-year, with operating profit at approximately €17.8 billion (around ¥147.9 billion) and net profit at about €10.9 billion (approximately ¥90.6 billion) [1] - The fashion and leather goods segment remains the largest and most profitable, although it saw a decline in 2025, while maintaining high operating profit margins [7] - The wine and spirits segment has been a drag on overall performance due to slowing demand for cognac and external environmental impacts [7] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The beauty and selective retail segments, which include Sephora, have shown resilience, with the beauty segment's operating profit increasing by 8% despite stable revenue, indicating effective cost control and product optimization [8] - The selective retail segment achieved a 4% organic growth in 2025, with profits rising by 28%, showcasing its role as a channel platform that meets diverse consumer demands [8] Group 3: Consumer Behavior Changes - There is a notable shift in consumer behavior, particularly in China, where consumers are willing to pay for high quality and strong design but are less tolerant of symbolic pricing and demand more authenticity in brand narratives [9][10] - The luxury dream is evolving from a focus on symbols to a more complex experience and content-driven approach, requiring brands to connect deeply with local cultural narratives [9][10] Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - LVMH is focusing on core assets that are controllable and replicable, indicating a potential reevaluation of brands that require high investment and rely on celebrity endorsements [26] - The company is adopting a strategy of innovation for growth while maintaining efficiency to protect profits, emphasizing better product structures and controlled channels [28] - Retail strategies are shifting towards adaptation rather than expansion, with a focus on meeting consumer needs and preferences in a more competitive environment [29] Group 5: Future Outlook - The beauty segment is increasingly seen as a critical touchpoint for consumer engagement and profit generation, especially in the context of fluctuating market conditions [30] - LVMH's ability to translate its strategies into stable growth will depend on its capacity to refine product offerings, channel strategies, and local narratives to resonate with evolving consumer expectations [30]