Market Overview - On January 30, the A-share market experienced a volatile correction, with the non-ferrous sector showing dramatic fluctuations, leading to significant declines in gold and non-ferrous ETFs, which approached their daily limit down before narrowing losses [1][3] - The non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) saw a drop of over 9%, which later reduced to 8%, with net subscriptions reaching 60 million units, translating to over 120 million yuan in net subscription amount [1] Precious Metals - The long-term outlook for gold remains strong due to factors such as de-dollarization, central bank gold purchases, and geopolitical conflicts, although short-term pullback risks should be monitored [1][5] - Recent market dynamics saw COMEX gold futures reaching historical highs, while spot silver surged over 4%, and London copper prices jumped 8%, surpassing $14,000 per ton [3][5] Industrial Metals - The copper market is currently experiencing short-term emotional volatility, but the long-term logic remains intact, supported by tight supply and ongoing demand from AI and power grid construction [8] - Aluminum prices are expected to maintain high volatility due to mixed macroeconomic signals, with domestic production increasing and inventory pressures mounting [8] Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) is highlighted for its comprehensive coverage of various metal sectors, including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, positioning it to benefit from the super cycle in non-ferrous metals [11][14] - The ETF has shown superior performance with a cumulative return leading its peers since 2022, and its valuation remains reasonable, indicating that price increases are driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion [16][17] Historical Trends - Historical patterns suggest that the non-ferrous sector is likely to continue its strong performance, particularly during the second phase of major market cycles, which is characterized by profit-driven price increases [9]
黄金等大宗商品大幅震荡!有色新高后首度重挫,有色ETF汇添富(159652)盘中跌幅收窄,资金实时涌入超1亿元!紫金矿业、洛阳钼业跌超7%